FS Jelgava vs Metta / LU Riga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FS Jelgava v Metta / LU Riga — Team-Based Signals
FS Jelgava vs Metta / LU Riga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
FS Jelgava
LET
0-1
HT 0-1
FS Jelgava
LET
2-3
HT 1-0
Metta / LU Riga
LET
2-1
HT 2-1
Metta / LU Riga
LET
FS Jelgava 1-0 Metta / LU Riga — Actual Match Statistics
FS Jelgava edged past Metta / LU Riga 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FS Jelgava as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, FS Jelgava had 40% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 60%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.04 to 1.13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.33 for Metta / LU Riga.
What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Metta / LU Riga?
FS Jelgava 1-0 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Metta / LU Riga?
Before kick-off our model rated a FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 41%, draw 30%, Metta / LU Riga 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FS Jelgava), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.