Liepaja 1-3 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 1 Jul 2024

📅01/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
60%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.74
Over 2.5
52%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
7%
+9.9pp
23%
Draw
14%
+9.1pp
60%
Away Win
79%
-19.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
33%
+15.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
67%
-15.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.3pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 84%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
0.66/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/0.63
-49% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -8%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 81%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 48.1
14.0 Crosses 28.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.62 xG 2.75
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
253 Passes 442
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 43
17 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 2-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
30.03.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
30.09.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-1 HT 2-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
08.07.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
17.05.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
05.04.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-0 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
1-3
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.42 xG 1.46
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 2
201 Passes 503
70% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola saw off Liepaja 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liepaja had 34% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 66%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.42 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Liepaja and 2.67 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Rigas Skola?

Liepaja 1-3 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 17%, draw 23%, Rigas Skola 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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