Fram Larvik 3-0 Sarpsborg 08 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 17 Aug 2026

📅17/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
Over Pick
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.28
No
38%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
38%
4-5
28%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
33%
+9.0pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.1pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
74%
-12.5pp
38%
BTTS No
26%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Larvik The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II The Market 49%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.69/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/1.96
-16% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Larvik
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2026 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 2-1 HT 2-0 Fram Larvik Fram Larvik NOR4
11.08.2025 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 2-3 HT 2-2 Fram Larvik Fram Larvik NOR4
14.06.2025 Fram Larvik Fram Larvik 3-0 HT 2-0 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II NOR4
08.08.2022 Fram Larvik Fram Larvik 2-0 HT 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II NOR4
27.06.2022 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 1-1 HT 0-0 Fram Larvik Fram Larvik NOR4
POST-MATCH Fram Larvik vs Sarpsborg 08 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Larvik swept aside Sarpsborg 08 II 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 18% / 40% — and on the day Fram Larvik made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fram Larvik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fram Larvik and 1.00 for Sarpsborg 08 II.

What was the final score of Fram Larvik vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Fram Larvik 3-0 Sarpsborg 08 II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 17/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Larvik vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Larvik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fram Larvik 42%, draw 18%, Sarpsborg 08 II 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Larvik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fram Larvik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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