Mallorca vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mallorca v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals
Mallorca vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Mallorca
İS1
1-1
HT 0-1
Real Sociedad
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Mallorca
İSPK
Mallorca 1-0 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics
Mallorca squeezed past Real Sociedad 1-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Mallorca found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (78%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Mallorca had 40% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 60%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.19 to 0.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mallorca and 1.00 for Real Sociedad.
What was the final score of Mallorca vs Real Sociedad?
Mallorca 1-0 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Real Sociedad?
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 35%, draw 29%, Real Sociedad 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Sociedad) went the other way.