Mes Soongoun 2-2 Shahre Raz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.61
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-5.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+5.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Shahre Raz EU Bookmakers 34%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.25/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.25
+11% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Soongoun
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Shahre Raz
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
04.03.2024 Shahre Raz Shahre Raz 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun IRANAZ
01.10.2023 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun 0-1 HT 0-0 Shahre Raz Shahre Raz IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Soongoun vs Shahre Raz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Soongoun and Shahre Raz shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mes Soongoun at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shahre Raz led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Mes Soongoun and 0.50 for Shahre Raz.

What was the final score of Mes Soongoun vs Shahre Raz?

Mes Soongoun 2-2 Shahre Raz in the Iran - Azadegan League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Soongoun vs Shahre Raz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Soongoun win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mes Soongoun 41%, draw 29%, Shahre Raz 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mes Soongoun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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