Sanat Naft 3-0 Mes Kerman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.44
Over 2.5
30%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.29
No
69%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
50%
2.0
2-3 Goals
33%
1.84
4-5 Goals
12%
6.65
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.0 — our 50% vs market 42.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.8pp
70%
Under 2.5
66%
+4.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
34%
-4.5pp
31%
BTTS Yes
40%
-8.8pp
69%
BTTS No
60%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Kerman EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +94%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanat Naft
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Mes Kerman
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
06.04.2023 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 2-1 HT 1-1 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRAN
12.01.2023 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 2-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRANK
20.10.2022 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 2-0 HT 1-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
POST-MATCH Sanat Naft vs Mes Kerman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanat Naft cruised past Mes Kerman 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sanat Naft as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (69%) landed while under 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mes Kerman led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sanat Naft and 1.67 for Mes Kerman.

What was the final score of Sanat Naft vs Mes Kerman?

Sanat Naft 3-0 Mes Kerman in the Iran - Azadegan League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanat Naft vs Mes Kerman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanat Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sanat Naft 48%, draw 29%, Mes Kerman 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanat Naft), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanat Naft) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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