Shahrdari Astara 2-3 Saipa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.48
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-0.9pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.4pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shahrdari Astara EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Saipa EU Bookmakers 49%
+11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.58/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.91
-38% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shahrdari Astara
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Saipa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
27.03.2024 Saipa Saipa 0-1 HT 0-0 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara IRANAZ
21.10.2023 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara 1-1 HT 1-1 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
25.01.2023 Saipa Saipa 1-1 HT 1-1 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara IRANAZ
02.09.2022 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara 0-1 HT 0-1 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
12.04.2022 Saipa Saipa 0-0 HT 0-0 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara IRANAZ
02.12.2021 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara 0-0 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Shahrdari Astara vs Saipa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saipa edged past Shahrdari Astara 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Saipa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shahrdari Astara and 0.50 for Saipa.

What was the final score of Shahrdari Astara vs Saipa?

Shahrdari Astara 2-3 Saipa in the Iran - Azadegan League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shahrdari Astara vs Saipa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saipa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shahrdari Astara 24%, draw 34%, Saipa 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saipa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saipa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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