Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
Alianza Petrolera and Atletico Nacional shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Atletico Nacional at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.50 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional?
Alianza Petrolera 1-1 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 35%, draw 23%, Atletico Nacional 42%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.