Havelse 2-6 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.97
4-5 Goals
23%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.83
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
20.55
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
15%
7.51
X/2
17%
5.01
X/X
7%
5.8
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
25%
2.61
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.55 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havelse EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 51%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.49/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.01
+16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 20.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Havelse
2-6
AWAY Ingolstadt
36% Ball Possession 64%
20 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 3
192 Passes 421
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Havelse vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt ran out comfortable winners over Havelse 6-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ingolstadt as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Havelse had 36% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 64%, shots finished 20-20.

What was the final score of Havelse vs Ingolstadt?

Havelse 2-6 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havelse vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Havelse 29%, draw 20%, Ingolstadt 50%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ingolstadt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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