Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 17 Sep 2025

Rot-Weiss Essen
1-1 HT 0-0
Osnabrück
📅17/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Osnabrück Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.47
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
15%
4.48
X/2
10%
7.96
X/X
10%
5.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.8
2/2
13%
5.96
2/X
5%
14.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.8 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Essen v Osnabrück — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
2.20/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.74
+29% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
17.6 Crosses 20.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Osnabrück Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Osnabrück
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
287 Passes 264
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.05.2025 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 3-1 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
15.12.2024 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
14.03.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
09.09.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3

Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 Osnabrück — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
1-1
AWAY Osnabrück
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
335 Passes 316
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen and Osnabrück shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Essen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 50% of the ball to Osnabrück's 50%, shots finished 16-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Osnabrück led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 1.25 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Osnabrück?

Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 45%, draw 23%, Osnabrück 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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