17/10/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Cusco FC vs Cultural San Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
25%
Draw
21%
24%
Away Win
16%
50%
Under 2.5
43%
50%
Over 2.5
57%
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
55%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cusco FC v Cultural San — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Cusco FC
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Cultural San
EU Bookmakers 20%
+9% /
+14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-7% /
-7%
1.69/0.62
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.84/1.49
+9%
/
+49%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-13%
/
+5%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
16
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
327 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
251 · 72%
20.9
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.2
18.3
Crosses
14.1
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.6
Cusco FC vs Cultural San Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Cusco FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Cultural San
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
0.99
xG
0.90
59%
Ball Possession
41%
14
Total Shots
19
1
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
10
316
Passes
198
82%
Pass Accuracy
78%
10
Box Touches
27
17
Crosses
27
2
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Cusco FC vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Cusco FC nicked a narrow win over Cultural San 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cusco FC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Cultural San?
Cusco FC 2-1 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Cultural San?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 52%, draw 25%, Cultural San 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC) — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Cusco FC)
✗ BTTS No
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PER
More Peru - Premier League
17 Oct 2024