Union Comercio vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Comercio v Comerciantes Unidos — Team-Based Signals
Union Comercio vs Comerciantes Unidos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Comerciantes Unidos
PERU2
4-0
HT 3-0
Comerciantes Unidos
PERU2
2-2
HT 1-1
Union Comercio
PER
2-0
HT 1-0
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
3-1
HT 1-0
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
Union Comercio 3-2 Comerciantes Unidos — Actual Match Statistics
Union Comercio edged past Comerciantes Unidos 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Comercio as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Union Comercio had 48% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 52%, shots finished 17-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Comercio had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Union Comercio and 1.00 for Comerciantes Unidos.
What was the final score of Union Comercio vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Union Comercio 3-2 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Comercio vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Comercio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Union Comercio 44%, draw 30%, Comerciantes Unidos 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Comercio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.