Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.48
Over 2.5
48%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.09
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
5.44
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.73
1/2
11%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
14%
5.92
X/2
10%
5.14
X/X
18%
3.46
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
20%
3.81
2/X
3%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.6pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
64%
-11.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
36%
+11.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.7pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +1%
1.33/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.81
-9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
12.2 Crosses 11.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Raith Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Corners 5
22.08.2025 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
14.03.2025 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
01.02.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 3-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
14.12.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
13.09.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
09.03.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic beat Raith Rovers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Raith Rovers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 1.50 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers?

Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 31%, draw 28%, Raith Rovers 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Raith Rovers), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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