Dunfermline Athletic 3-1 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
5.98
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.7
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.2
X/1
16%
4.77
X/2
11%
5.79
X/X
14%
3.44
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.93
2/X
6%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.3pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.44/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.81
-22% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
244 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 67%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.0 Crosses 11.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Raith Rovers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Corners 6
14.12.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
13.09.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
09.03.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
02.01.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 HT 1-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
24.11.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-3 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
28.10.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic saw off Raith Rovers 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Dunfermline Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 1.67 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers?

Dunfermline Athletic 3-1 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 39%, draw 31%, Raith Rovers 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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