Hamilton 0-2 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
48%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.19
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.32
6+ Goals
8%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 29% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.36
1/2
6%
22.55
1/X
5%
16.45
X/1
10%
9.11
X/2
17%
4.1
X/X
13%
5.27
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.2
2/X
7%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 59%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.98/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.76
-2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
1.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ayr United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
17.08.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 3-2 HT 1-2 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
03.08.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 0-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
18.03.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 0-2 HT 0-2 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
07.01.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
11.11.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 2-3 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
13.08.2022 Ayr United Ayr United 2-2 HT 1-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United got the better of Hamilton 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ayr United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hamilton and 2.17 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Ayr United?

Hamilton 0-2 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 27%, draw 25%, Ayr United 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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