Muharraq 1-1 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒16:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 31% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.3pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.83/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.00
+22% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Al Riffa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2025 Muharraq Muharraq 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
10.01.2025 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-0 HT 1-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
03.04.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
30.12.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAHKK
08.10.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 3-2 HT 0-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
24.02.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
1-1
AWAY Al Riffa
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq and Al Riffa shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 27% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Muharraq had 45% of the ball to Al Riffa's 55%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Riffa led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Muharraq and 1.50 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Al Riffa?

Muharraq 1-1 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 40%, draw 32%, Al Riffa 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Muharraq) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Muharraq) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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