Muharraq 1-2 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 12 May 2025

Muharraq
1-2 HT 0-1
Al Riffa
📅12/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2024/2025

Muharraq vs Al Riffa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.7
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.06
6+ Goals
8%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 24% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Muharraq v Al Riffa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.52/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.16
+65% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5

Muharraq vs Al Riffa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Al Riffa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
42% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.01.2025 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-0 HT 1-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
03.04.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
30.12.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAHKK
08.10.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 3-2 HT 0-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
24.02.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
24.02.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 0-0 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH

Muharraq 1-2 Al Riffa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
1-2
AWAY Al Riffa
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa squeezed past Muharraq 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Muharraq at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Muharraq had 51% of the ball to Al Riffa's 49%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Riffa led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Muharraq and 1.17 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Al Riffa?

Muharraq 1-2 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 44%, draw 29%, Al Riffa 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Muharraq), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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