Al Najma 1-2 AAli FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 12 May 2025

Al Najma
1-2 HT 0-0
AAli FC
📅12/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Najma vs AAli FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 31% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Najma v AAli FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY AAli FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.48/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.49
-12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Al Najma vs AAli FC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AAli FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.01.2025 AAli FC AAli FC 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs AAli FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AAli FC nicked a narrow win over Al Najma 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Najma at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs AAli FC?

Al Najma 1-2 AAli FC in the Bahrain - Premier League on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs AAli FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 45%, draw 25%, AAli FC 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Najma) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAH More Bahrain - Premier League
12 May 2025
19:00 East Riffa vs Al Ahli Manama Analysis →
19:00 Muharraq vs Al Riffa Analysis →