East Riffa 1-0 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
24%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
37%
+8.2pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.8pp
24%
Away Win
31%
-7.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Riffa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.44/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.93
+27% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Riffa
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.01.2025 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 3-2 HT 3-2 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
14.02.2024 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-0 HT 1-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
24.09.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
08.02.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-0 HT 0-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
08.12.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 2-4 HT 1-2 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
18.02.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 3-4 HT 0-2 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME East Riffa
1-0
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH East Riffa vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Riffa edged past Al Ahli Manama 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had East Riffa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, East Riffa had 39% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 61%, shots finished 3-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Manama led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for East Riffa and 2.33 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of East Riffa vs Al Ahli Manama?

East Riffa 1-0 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Riffa vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split East Riffa 46%, draw 31%, Al Ahli Manama 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (East Riffa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (East Riffa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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