HB Koge 2-1 Kolding IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
57%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
23%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
57%
Away Win
53%
+4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 57%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.18/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.74
-25% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
16.0 Crosses 20.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Kolding IF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.73 xG 1.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
365 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.08.2025 Kolding IF Kolding IF 3-1 HT 3-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
25.10.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 0-1 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
14.09.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-1 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
07.10.2023 Kolding IF Kolding IF 3-1 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
14.09.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 0-1 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
13.03.2021 HB Koge HB Koge 1-1 HT 1-1 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
2-1
AWAY Kolding IF
1.68 xG 1.37
33% Ball Possession 67%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
164 Passes 432
65% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Kolding IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HB Koge squeezed past Kolding IF 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Kolding IF carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, HB Koge had 33% of the ball to Kolding IF's 67%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.68 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolding IF led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for HB Koge and 1.67 for Kolding IF.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Kolding IF?

HB Koge 2-1 Kolding IF in the Denmark 1st Division on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Kolding IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 19%, draw 24%, Kolding IF 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kolding IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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DAN1 More Denmark 1st Division
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