CS Herediano 1-3 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.6pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.55/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.20
+13% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alajuelense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
29.05.2025 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
26.05.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
09.03.2025 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-2 HT 1-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
06.02.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-1 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
28.12.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-1 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSBF
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
1-3
AWAY Alajuelense
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ CS Herediano vs Alajuelense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Alajuelense beat CS Herediano 3-1 away from home in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 17 Oct 2025. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, CS Herediano had 54% of the ball to Alajuelense's 46%, shots finished 9-8.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CS Herediano and 0.83 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Alajuelense?

CS Herediano 1-3 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 38%, draw 25%, Alajuelense 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38) ✓ BTTS Yes
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