CS Herediano 1-2 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.9pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.3pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.61/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.23
+18% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alajuelense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
06.02.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-1 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
28.12.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-1 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSBF
23.12.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-0 HT 1-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSBF
12.12.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-2 HT 1-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
09.12.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-0 HT 2-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
20.11.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
1-2
AWAY Alajuelense
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense edged past CS Herediano 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 29% — and on the day Alajuelense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CS Herediano had 43% of the ball to Alajuelense's 57%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CS Herediano and 1.17 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Alajuelense?

CS Herediano 1-2 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 40%, draw 30%, Alajuelense 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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