Alajuelense 2-2 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 12 Dec 2024

📅12/12/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -14%
1.99/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.33
-1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CS Herediano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.12.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-0 HT 2-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
20.11.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
20.10.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-1 HT 1-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
19.05.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
16.05.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
01.05.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-1 HT 1-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense and CS Herediano couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alajuelense at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alajuelense and 0.83 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?

Alajuelense 2-2 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 52%, draw 26%, CS Herediano 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Under 2.5
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