CS Herediano 1-0 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.38/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.16
-5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alajuelense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.53 xG 1.56
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
305 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.05.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
01.05.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-1 HT 1-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
25.02.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-1 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
11.12.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
03.12.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 2-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
02.11.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-2 HT 1-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano CONOAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
1-0
AWAY Alajuelense
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano nicked a narrow win over Alajuelense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; CS Herediano found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CS Herediano had 67% of the ball to Alajuelense's 33%, shots finished 24-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CS Herediano and 0.83 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Alajuelense?

CS Herediano 1-0 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 34%, draw 29%, Alajuelense 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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