CS Herediano 1-1 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.16/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.96
-7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Alajuelense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
16.05.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
01.05.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-1 HT 1-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
25.02.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-1 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
11.12.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
03.12.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 2-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
1-1
AWAY Alajuelense
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano and Alajuelense shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, CS Herediano had 50% of the ball to Alajuelense's 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CS Herediano and 0.50 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Alajuelense?

CS Herediano 1-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 37%, draw 31%, Alajuelense 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CS Herediano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✓ Under 2.5
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
20 Oct 2024
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