Municipal Liberia 4-2 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -20%
2.00/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.28
+11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
01.04.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
26.01.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-1 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
12.11.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
14.09.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
20.03.2022 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
4-2
AWAY Puntarenas FC
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia got the better of Puntarenas FC 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 58% of the ball to Puntarenas FC's 42%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Municipal Liberia and 0.50 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Puntarenas FC?

Municipal Liberia 4-2 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 52%, draw 23%, Puntarenas FC 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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20 Oct 2024
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