Alajuelense 2-0 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 20 Nov 2024

📅20/11/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.46/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.00
-5% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CS Herediano
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
20.10.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-1 HT 1-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
19.05.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
16.05.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
01.05.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-1 HT 1-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
25.02.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-1 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
11.12.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
2-0
AWAY CS Herediano
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense got the better of CS Herediano 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Alajuelense had 56% of the ball to CS Herediano's 44%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alajuelense and 0.67 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?

Alajuelense 2-0 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 46%, draw 29%, CS Herediano 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
20 Nov 2024
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