Municipal Liberia 1-2 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 20 Nov 2024

📅20/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +22%
1.67/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.22
+19% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
324 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
1W-1D-3L
AWAY San Carlos
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 1-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
25.04.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-3 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
14.01.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 3-2 HT 1-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
27.11.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
21.09.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
1-2
AWAY San Carlos
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos nicked a narrow win over Municipal Liberia 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 35%) promised a tight game; San Carlos found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 52% of the ball to San Carlos's 48%, shots finished 14-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, San Carlos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.00 for San Carlos.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos?

Municipal Liberia 1-2 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 40%, draw 24%, San Carlos 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Municipal Liberia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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