San Carlos 1-2 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.0pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.40/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.93
-13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.04.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-3 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
14.01.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 3-2 HT 1-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
27.11.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
21.09.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia nicked a narrow win over San Carlos 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was San Carlos at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, San Carlos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for San Carlos and 1.50 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia?

San Carlos 1-2 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 42%, draw 30%, Municipal Liberia 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Carlos), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Carlos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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