Guanacasteca 2-1 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.22/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.08
+4% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
3W-0D-3L
AWAY CS Herediano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
23.04.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-2 HT 0-2 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
19.02.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
16.11.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-1 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
13.08.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
29.03.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 4-0 HT 3-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
29.01.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca squeezed past CS Herediano 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was CS Herediano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guanacasteca and 0.83 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs CS Herediano?

Guanacasteca 2-1 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated an CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 35%, draw 24%, CS Herediano 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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