CS Herediano 2-0 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League Apertura Final, 23 Dec 2024

📅23/12/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 36%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+61% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alajuelense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.12.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-2 HT 1-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
09.12.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-0 HT 2-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
20.11.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
20.10.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-1 HT 1-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
19.05.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
16.05.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
2-0
AWAY Alajuelense
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano beat Alajuelense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CS Herediano as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CS Herediano had 62% of the ball to Alajuelense's 38%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CS Herediano and 1.00 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Alajuelense?

CS Herediano 2-0 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League Apertura Final on 23/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 42%, draw 32%, Alajuelense 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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