Alajuelense 2-1 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League Apertura Final, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.61
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.18
Over 2.5
42%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
58%
-17.8pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.8pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+9.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
42%
+16.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
58%
-16.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
442 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CS Herediano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.12.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-0 HT 1-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSBF
12.12.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-2 HT 1-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
09.12.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-0 HT 2-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
20.11.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
20.10.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-1 HT 1-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
19.05.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
2-1
AWAY CS Herediano
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense nicked a narrow win over CS Herediano 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 28%) promised a tight game; Alajuelense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alajuelense had 66% of the ball to CS Herediano's 34%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alajuelense and 1.33 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?

Alajuelense 2-1 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League Apertura Final on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 40%, draw 31%, CS Herediano 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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