Municipal Liberia 1-0 Sporting San Jose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.92/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.72
+27% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting San Jose
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.01.2025 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
02.11.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
19.08.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
28.04.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 3-2 HT 2-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
26.02.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-0 HT 2-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
28.10.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
1-0
AWAY Sporting San Jose
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia nicked a narrow win over Sporting San Jose 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 57% of the ball to Sporting San Jose's 43%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting San Jose led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.33 for Sporting San Jose.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose?

Municipal Liberia 1-0 Sporting San Jose in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Sporting San Jose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 46%, draw 28%, Sporting San Jose 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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