Sporting San Jose 1-0 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.2pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.43/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.31
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting San Jose
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 3-2 HT 2-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
26.02.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-0 HT 2-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
28.10.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
27.08.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 3-4 HT 2-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting San Jose
1-0
AWAY Municipal Liberia
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting San Jose squeezed past Municipal Liberia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting San Jose as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sporting San Jose had 48% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 52%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Sporting San Jose and 2.50 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia?

Sporting San Jose 1-0 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting San Jose win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting San Jose 41%, draw 26%, Municipal Liberia 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting San Jose), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting San Jose) ✓ Under 2.5
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
19 Aug 2024
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