Sporting San Jose 2-1 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.3pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.32/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.46
-6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
452 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting San Jose
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
19.08.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
28.04.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 3-2 HT 2-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
26.02.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-0 HT 2-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
28.10.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
27.08.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 3-4 HT 2-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting San Jose
2-1
AWAY Municipal Liberia
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting San Jose nicked a narrow win over Municipal Liberia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sporting San Jose found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sporting San Jose had 61% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 39%, shots finished 18-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting San Jose and 1.83 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia?

Sporting San Jose 2-1 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sporting San Jose 32%, draw 31%, Municipal Liberia 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Municipal Liberia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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