Be1 NFA 1-3 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
20%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
20%
Away Win
26%
-6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.41/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/2.03
-12% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
364 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Be1 NFA
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Hegelmann II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2025 Hegelmann II Hegelmann II 1-2 HT 1-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
04.08.2024 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-0 HT 0-0 Hegelmann II Hegelmann II LIT1
07.03.2024 Hegelmann II Hegelmann II 1-3 HT 0-2 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Be1 NFA
1-3
AWAY Hegelmann II
66% Ball Possession 34%
23 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Be1 NFA vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann II saw off Be1 NFA 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Be1 NFA at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Be1 NFA had 66% of the ball to Hegelmann II's 34%, shots finished 23-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Be1 NFA and 0.67 for Hegelmann II.

What was the final score of Be1 NFA vs Hegelmann II?

Be1 NFA 1-3 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Be1 NFA vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Be1 NFA 51%, draw 30%, Hegelmann II 20%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Be1 NFA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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