FeralpiSalo 2-0 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 35% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.5pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -19%
1.47/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.47
-6% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Triestina
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2023 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
04.12.2022 Triestina Triestina 0-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
14.03.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 3-0 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
31.10.2021 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
13.03.2021 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
15.11.2020 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 2-1 HT 2-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
2-0
AWAY Triestina
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo beat Triestina 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FeralpiSalo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 55% of the ball to Triestina's 45%, shots finished 10-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FeralpiSalo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FeralpiSalo and 0.50 for Triestina.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Triestina?

FeralpiSalo 2-0 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 50%, draw 29%, Triestina 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FeralpiSalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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