RB Leipzig (K) 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+7.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
35%
Away Win
44%
-9.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.86/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.81
+11% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
246 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
12.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
6.6 Crosses 9.1
3.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
19.04.2024 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
19.11.2023 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
0-1
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0.27 xG 1.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
396 Passes 310
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
8 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen (K) edged past RB Leipzig (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Bayer Leverkusen (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, RB Leipzig (K) had 55% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 45%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.27 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RB Leipzig (K) and 0.50 for Bayer Leverkusen (K).

What was the final score of RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

RB Leipzig (K) 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig (K) 38%, draw 28%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (RB Leipzig (K)) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALKB More Germany - Women's Bundesliga
17 Nov 2024
16:00 Bayern München (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K) Analysis →