17/11/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Havelse vs Todesfelde Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
72%
16%
Draw
16%
16%
Away Win
12%
32%
Under 2.5
30%
68%
Over 2.5
70%
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
46%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Havelse v Todesfelde — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Havelse
EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY
Todesfelde
EU Bookmakers 15%
-18% /
-19%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+3%
1.73/0.92
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.86/2.27
-27%
/
+1%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-9%
/
+1%
63%
Ball Possession
37%
18
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Target
4
8
Corners
3
448 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
264 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.3
Havelse vs Todesfelde Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Havelse
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Todesfelde
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Havelse vs Todesfelde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Havelse ran out comfortable winners over Todesfelde 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Havelse as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%) came in.
What was the final score of Havelse vs Todesfelde?
Havelse 3-0 Todesfelde in the Germany - Regional League on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Havelse vs Todesfelde?
Before kick-off our model rated a Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Havelse 68%, draw 16%, Todesfelde 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havelse), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Havelse)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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ALMBÖL
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17 Nov 2024