Phönix Lübeck 1-3 BW Lohne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.8pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY BW Lohne EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.22/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.84
+14% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
2W-2D-1L
AWAY BW Lohne
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1 Corners 4
03.08.2024 BW Lohne BW Lohne 2-0 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
24.02.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 3-1 HT 0-1 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
02.09.2023 BW Lohne BW Lohne 0-0 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
04.12.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-0 HT 0-0 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
07.08.2022 BW Lohne BW Lohne 2-3 HT 2-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs BW Lohne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BW Lohne got the better of Phönix Lübeck 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Phönix Lübeck at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.00 for BW Lohne.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs BW Lohne?

Phönix Lübeck 1-3 BW Lohne in the Germany - Regional League on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs BW Lohne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 49%, draw 22%, BW Lohne 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
17 Nov 2024
15:30 Teutonia Hamburg vs VfB Oldenburg Analysis →
15:30 Bremer SV vs Holstein Kiel II Analysis →
16:00 Eintracht Norderstedt vs Werder Bremen II Analysis →
16:00 Havelse vs Todesfelde Analysis →