Teutonia Hamburg 1-4 VfB Oldenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.3pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teutonia Hamburg EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -18%
1.33/2.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.85
-3% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teutonia Hamburg
1W-2D-2L
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2024 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 5-2 HT 4-1 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
09.03.2024 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 1-0 HT 1-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
16.09.2023 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
01.05.2022 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 2-2 HT 2-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
20.03.2022 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Teutonia Hamburg vs VfB Oldenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VfB Oldenburg cruised past Teutonia Hamburg 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; VfB Oldenburg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, VfB Oldenburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Teutonia Hamburg and 2.40 for VfB Oldenburg.

What was the final score of Teutonia Hamburg vs VfB Oldenburg?

Teutonia Hamburg 1-4 VfB Oldenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teutonia Hamburg vs VfB Oldenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Teutonia Hamburg 36%, draw 23%, VfB Oldenburg 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VfB Oldenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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