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Newcastle Jets (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle Jets (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle Jets (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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Newcastle Jets (K) 1-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle Jets (K) edged past Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Wellington Phoenix (K) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 52% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 48%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.18 to 0.75.
What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Newcastle Jets (K) 1-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 35%, draw 24%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.