Central & Western 1-2 Hoi King — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.29
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.68
Over 2.5
68%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-12.2pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.4pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.7pp
32%
Under 2.5
24%
+8.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
76%
-8.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.1pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central & Western EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoi King EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
3.86/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/3.06
+42% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central & Western
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Hoi King
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2024 Hoi King Hoi King 1-8 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
29.10.2023 Central & Western Central & Western 3-0 HT 2-0 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
29.01.2023 Hoi King Hoi King 3-2 HT 1-0 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
06.11.2022 Central & Western Central & Western 7-1 HT 3-1 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central & Western
1-2
AWAY Hoi King
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Central & Western vs Hoi King
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoi King nicked a narrow win over Central & Western 2-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Central & Western carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Central & Western had 67% of the ball to Hoi King's 33%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Central & Western had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for Central & Western and 1.25 for Hoi King.

What was the final score of Central & Western vs Hoi King?

Central & Western 1-2 Hoi King in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central & Western vs Hoi King?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Central & Western 61%, draw 18%, Hoi King 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Central & Western) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Central & Western) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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