Eastern District 1-1 Yuen Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
13%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-0.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+0.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.6pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern District EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 51%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.53/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.17
+19% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
252 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern District
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Yuen Long
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 Eastern District Eastern District 1-1 HT 0-1 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
19.11.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 5-4 HT 2-1 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
09.10.2022 Eastern District Eastern District 0-1 HT 0-1 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
10.10.2021 Yuen Long Yuen Long 2-1 HT 1-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern District
1-1
AWAY Yuen Long
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastern District vs Yuen Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern District and Yuen Long couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Yuen Long at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Eastern District had 45% of the ball to Yuen Long's 55%, shots finished 4-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Yuen Long led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eastern District and 2.25 for Yuen Long.

What was the final score of Eastern District vs Yuen Long?

Eastern District 1-1 Yuen Long in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern District vs Yuen Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Eastern District 29%, draw 27%, Yuen Long 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yuen Long), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yuen Long) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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