Kataller Toyama 3-1 Vanraure Hachinohe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒07:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.6pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanraure Hachinohe EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.70/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.32
+19% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.5 Crosses 13.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Vanraure Hachinohe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.03.2024 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe 2-0 HT 2-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
19.11.2023 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe 1-0 HT 1-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
24.06.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 2-1 HT 1-0 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe JAP3
23.10.2022 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe 2-1 HT 0-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
15.07.2022 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 2-1 HT 0-1 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe JAP3
06.10.2021 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe 0-1 HT 0-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
3-1
AWAY Vanraure Hachinohe
61% Ball Possession 39%
28 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
366 Passes 161
78% Pass Accuracy 60%
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Vanraure Hachinohe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama got the better of Vanraure Hachinohe 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kataller Toyama as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 61% of the ball to Vanraure Hachinohe's 39%, shots finished 28-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kataller Toyama and 1.17 for Vanraure Hachinohe.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Vanraure Hachinohe?

Kataller Toyama 3-1 Vanraure Hachinohe in the Japan - J3 League on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Vanraure Hachinohe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 50%, draw 22%, Vanraure Hachinohe 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kataller Toyama), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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