Nara Club 1-0 Grulla Morioka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.2pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 24%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -18%
0.63/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.90
-64% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
535 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 186 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nara Club
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Grulla Morioka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2024 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 2-1 HT 0-0 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
29.07.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-1 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
16.04.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 1-0 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
1-0
AWAY Grulla Morioka
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
433 Passes 446
89% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs Grulla Morioka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club squeezed past Grulla Morioka 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nara Club as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nara Club had 51% of the ball to Grulla Morioka's 49%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nara Club and 1.00 for Grulla Morioka.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs Grulla Morioka?

Nara Club 1-0 Grulla Morioka in the Japan - J3 League on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs Grulla Morioka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nara Club win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 45%, draw 24%, Grulla Morioka 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nara Club), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nara Club) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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