Fukushima United 2-1 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.34/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.25
+0% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
337 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.2 Crosses 13.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fukushima United
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2024 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
06.08.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 2-1 HT 1-1 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
08.04.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
06.11.2022 Fukushima United Fukushima United 2-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
19.03.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-5 HT 0-3 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
12.09.2021 Fukushima United Fukushima United 2-1 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fukushima United
2-1
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
366 Passes 285
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fukushima United vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fukushima United squeezed past Azul Claro Numazu 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Fukushima United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Fukushima United had 56% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 44%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fukushima United had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Fukushima United and 0.50 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Fukushima United vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Fukushima United 2-1 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fukushima United vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fukushima United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fukushima United 38%, draw 24%, Azul Claro Numazu 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ BTTS No
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