Urawa Red (K) 4-0 Omiya Ardija (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.22
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.53
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
58%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Urawa Red (K) win — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
77%
-8.7pp
15%
Draw
14%
+0.6pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+8.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.9pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.16/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/3.36
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -37%
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
471 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
18.04.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-4 HT 0-4 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) JWEL
07.01.2024 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red (K)
4-0
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Urawa Red (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red (K) swept aside Omiya Ardija (K) 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Urawa Red (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Urawa Red (K) had 55% of the ball to Omiya Ardija (K)'s 45%, shots finished 18-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Urawa Red (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Urawa Red (K) and 0.50 for Omiya Ardija (K).

What was the final score of Urawa Red (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Urawa Red (K) 4-0 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red (K) 69%, draw 15%, Omiya Ardija (K) 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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