Juventus 4-0 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 17 Dec 2024

Juventus
4 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Cagliari
📅17/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
70%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
12%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.07
Over
57%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.81
2-3
45%
1.8
4-5
26%
3.05
6+
8%
9.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.74
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
4%
18.5
X/1
22%
3.61
X/2
4%
14.55
X/X
11%
6.3
2/1
4%
23.0
2/2
6%
11.65
2/X
4%
19.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 4% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Juventus The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari The Market 17%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
2.33 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.91
0.77 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.03
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Great Defense Strength Weak
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
33 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Cagliari
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.65 xG 1.02
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
465 Passes 258
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
19.04.2024 Cagliari Cagliari 2-2 HT 2-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
11.11.2023 Juventus Juventus 2-1 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
09.04.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 1-2 HT 1-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
21.12.2021 Juventus Juventus 2-0 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
14.03.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 1-3 HT 0-3 Juventus Juventus İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
4 - 0
AWAY Cagliari
2.02 xG 0.85
55% Ball Possession 45%
27 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
455 Passes 350
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
43 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 17
REVIEW Juventus vs Cagliari
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Juventus ran out comfortable winners over Cagliari 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 55% to 45% in Juventus's favour, shots finished 27-13, expected goals 2.02 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Juventus against 1.00 for Cagliari.

Juventus vs Cagliari Result & Final Score

Juventus 4 - 0 Cagliari in the Italy - Cup on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Juventus vs Cagliari Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Juventus 70%, draw 19%, Cagliari 12%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Over 2.5
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