Glenavon FC 3-1 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.16
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
10%
5.86
X/2
16%
5.07
X/X
13%
4.73
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
17%
3.4
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.27/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.18
-3% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
14.09.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
24.02.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
23.12.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
23.09.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
14.02.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
10.01.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 4-2 HT 2-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC beat Crusaders FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Crusaders FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.83 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Crusaders FC?

Glenavon FC 3-1 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 30%, draw 28%, Crusaders FC 42%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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